Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 29.774650 34.336104 39.272776 45.001167 51.453466 58.484224 66.712781
2024-12-22 20.305137 26.180855 33.166154 42.029398 52.917104 65.792322 82.101732
2024-12-29 16.430094 23.122704 31.679357 43.297531 58.518503 77.622217 103.229542
2025-01-05 14.152669 21.424043 31.294777 45.453834 64.980848 90.662406 126.629488
2025-01-12 11.509866 18.659966 28.923223 44.406827 66.776873 97.454009 142.115775
2025-01-19 9.239373 15.991514 26.208585 42.364941 66.728264 101.435602 153.762110
2025-01-26 8.559504 15.623569 26.776924 45.087420 73.646873 115.559038 180.480465
2025-02-02 8.252134 15.788375 28.140470 49.091714 82.735753 133.381972 213.657768
2025-02-09 7.374392 14.836392 27.561498 49.898681 86.873591 144.017945 236.760231
2025-02-16 6.488535 13.724040 26.556062 49.850385 89.562607 152.513342 257.018026
2025-02-23 5.667247 12.596977 25.370315 49.330793 91.360064 159.626398 275.431949
2025-03-02 4.966851 11.590096 24.265309 48.804767 93.038872 166.566999 293.869548
2025-03-09 4.382660 10.768655 23.482889 48.923725 96.096224 176.397000 318.358809
2025-03-16 3.558150 9.297360 21.270529 46.171512 93.880008 177.348031 328.475839
2025-03-23 3.266311 8.956495 21.266737 47.641567 99.453802 192.004086 362.621892
2025-03-30 3.083584 8.836387 21.699356 50.006244 106.871530 210.340833 404.152174
2025-04-06 2.643933 8.003663 20.485967 48.871045 107.465556 216.487746 424.653328
2025-04-13 2.194733 7.048278 18.854311 46.649533 105.687558 218.120565 437.108522
2025-04-20 2.133004 7.118332 19.590153 49.612456 114.548541 240.046353 487.558171
2025-04-27 2.151558 7.416402 20.900865 53.967015 126.570473 268.600777 551.617601
2025-05-04 1.970992 7.105056 20.686701 54.844135 131.393073 283.623898 591.210461
2025-05-11 1.763700 6.669540 20.100610 54.791647 134.219235 294.904128 624.288327
2025-05-18 1.558167 6.192589 19.337341 54.226900 135.866342 303.911364 653.421560